It’s that time of the year! Fantasy football drafts are fast approaching and everybody’s putting together their personal lists. So I wanted to give you some players at each position that I’ll be targeting based on their current average draft positions (ADPs).
Timestamps are in the video description for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight-ends and defenses!
We’re back once again with my fantasy diamonds piece, where I try to give you some names I think are undervalued based on current ADPs (average draft positions) across the three major platforms – NFL.com, ESPN & Yahoo.
I realized this wasn’t posted here until now, so R.I.P. J.K. Dobbins …
If you’re making the initial leap from Redraft to Dynasty Leagues there are a litany of DOs & Dont’s to naviagate. However, one of the main distinctions between your annual Redraft League and Dyansty League necessitates that you are responsive and relatively active when it comes to making trades. Of course building a quality roster via your Dynasty start-up draft goes a long way; but in order to maintain a competitive roster year-to-year, having success in your subsequent rookie drafts is only half the battle. You have to cultivate your ability to execute a Dynasty Football Trade with a lasting Return on Investment (ROI).
For the full post visit HERE or watch the video below.
I told you I was going back to the Derek Carr well. That’s three weeks in a row (1-1 thus far). Week 12 was brutal but I am inclinced to trust the process. Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders get yet another favorable matchup in Week 13. Derek Carr has proven inconsistent as evidenced by his stinker last week. However, my primary concern is wind gusts potentially reaching 20 mph in East Rutherford, NJ. Still, I believe Carr and the Raiders passing offense will be much sharper in Week 13. Last week’s opponent, the Atlanta Falcons have played much better as of late. Meanwhile, the Raiders’ Week 13 foe, the New York Jets, are winless and have demonstrated virtually no improvement.
I anticipate the Raiders offensive line bouncing back which is the primary catalyst to Las Vegas’ offensive success. A decent rushing attack should increase the effectiveness of the play-action game and slow down the pass rush. Furthermore, the New York Jets allow the 4th most fantasy points per game (22.0) to the quarterback position. Don’t fail me now Derek Carr… Start em.
START Melvin Gordon @ Kansas City Chiefs
Running the football is one of the few things the Broncos do well. Gordon’s running mate Phillip Lindsay could be limited and I am anticipating an upitck in Gordon’s usage in Week 13. Drew Lock returning to the lineup should help Gordon’s cause and the Kansas City Chiefs aren’t exactly stout against the run. If Denver can keep the score close enough to ensure the running game remains viable, Gordon should return RB2 value this week.
Someone apparently cut the power in Arizona. After a midseason heater, Christian Kirk has a meager 18/11/96/0 line over his last three games. Kyler Murray has been somewhat underwhelming since his late game heroics against Buffalo a few weeks ago. Furthermore, Murray isn’t 100% healthy and Kliff Kingsbury needs to take a look in the mirror as a play-caller. To make matters worse, Arizona faces off against the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams allow the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers in the NFL. With Larry Fitzgerald and Andy Isabella moving in on Kirk’s target share I am seeking different options. Sit em.
Carr was terrific in Week 11 and I’m going right back to the well considering his matchup this week. Heading into Week 12, the Atlanta Falcons allow the most fantasy points per game (26.5) to the quarterback position. You know the story by now. Atlanta allows the highest QB Rating against (105.9) in the league; a direcct correlation to their inability to affect the passer. Frankly, if you opt to start Carr this week, leave him in your lineup as he gets another choice matchup (NYJ) next week. Start em.
START Wayne Gallman @ Cincinnati Bengals
Since the Devonta Freeman experiement ended in the wake of Saquon Barkley’s injury; Wayne Gallman has been a steay peformer. Gallman has operated as the Giants lead back for a month now and has scored in four straight games. I’ve always believed that Gallman is a capable back albeit not the most gifted. Now with improved offensive line and quarterback play and the requisite opportunity he has become a legitimiate fantasy asset this season. This week’s matchup against the Bengals is particularly intriguing as they allow 136.2 rushing yards per game; 3rd most in the NFL.
Set aside whatever bias you might have based on how things ended for Agholor in Philly and prioritize your fantasy football team’s success. Nelson Agholor is getting open consistently. Agholor has caught five touchdowns in the Raiders last seven contests. Among Las Vegas WRs, he is Derek Carr’s preferred target. If the matchup is good for Derek Carr, the matchup is good for Nelson Agholor. Not to mention the Atlanta Falcons allow the third most fantasy points per game (29.2) to the wide receiver position. Start em.
SIT Darrell Henderson/Cam Akers/Malcolm Brown vs. San Francisco 49ers
As much as I would like to see Darrell Henderson featured in the Rams rushing attack it’s not happening. Over the past three contests Henderson has failed to receive double digit rush attempts. However, Henderson’s reduced volume hasn’t made the rushing pecking order in Los Angeles anymore clear. Cam Akers nor Malcolm Brown have eclipsed 10 rush attempts during that three game span. It’s a full blown committee. No telling who will find the endzone. Sit em.
Clearly I began my victory lap too soon after splendid Week 9 Start/Sit recommendations. It bit me (and you) substantially in Week 10. Instead of unveiling my Start/Sit recommendations on Saturday, I got cocky and dropped them on a Friday; and let’s just say that was ill-advised. Injury reports fluctuated up to kickoff and in-game, damning my fantasy football lineup suggestions. I won’t make that mistake again heading into Week 11.
I think it’s safet to say that Alex Smith has knocked off the rust. Smith has 87 pass attempts over the last two weeks, completing 71% of those passes and averaging nearly 360 yards per contest. Unfortunately, only one of those attempts has gone for a score but I firmly expect that to change this week. Smith faces Cincinnati’s listless pass rush and forgiving pass defense. To date the Bengals have allowed the 2nd most passing TDs (21) in the NFL and allow the 8th most fantasy points per game (21.1) to the quarterback position.
START James Conner @ Jacksonville Jaguars
James Conner has been an afterthought in Pittsburgh’s offense during recent weeks. However, I expect a shift this week. Mike Tomlin is already on record indicating correcting the running game struggles is the priority heading into Week 11. You can still count on Pittsburgh airing it out plenty. But assuming the Steelers do not take their opponent lightly I expect them to put this game away early allowing Conner and the offensive line to get lathered up. Jacksonville allows the 8th most fantasy points per game (20.9) to the running back position.
START Calvin Ridley @ New Orleans Saints
Assuming Ridley is back in the lineup for Week 11 I’m starting him. There is an inherent risk here given the nature of his injury (foot) and the fact that Ridley wins with route-running. However, if the Falcons are to move the football it will be through the air. In eight games, Ridley has either scored and/or eclipsed the 100-yard receiving mark six times.
Not only is Ridley the most likely of the Falcons to find the endzone, he has a history of success against the Saints. In four games, Ridley averages 9/6.5/89.5/1 versus New Orleans. As I alluded to previously, there is a risk of re-injury or snap count limitations but I’m rolling the dice. Start em.
Inconsistency. Poor matchup. And may not be available due to injury. When Drew Lock flashes it’s exciting. But he’s more of a tease at this point than anything else. Sit em.
SIT Todd Gurley @ New Orleans Saints
Do you recall when last the Saints allowed a 100-yard rusher? Me either. No wonder why New Orleans allows the least amount of fantasy points per game (13.2) to the running back position. Enter the “Artist formerly known as Todd Gurley” and his 3.7 yards per carry. Atlanta struggles to run the football as evidenced by four straight games of 2.8 yards per carry or fewer; but it serves as a neon flashing sign to consider a different option. Gurley has managed to find the endzone on a relatively consistent basis this season so an RB2 finish is a distinct possibility.But his lack of involvement in the passing game convinced me to fade him this week. Sit em.
That’s more like it. My Week 9 Start/Sit recommendations were a significant improvement on that Week 8 abomination. Onward! Let’s get into Week 10 Start/Sit recommendations.
Quarterback Start/Sit Recommendations
START Drew Brees vs. San Francisco 49ers
Let’s face it, these are two teams going in opposite directions. The Saints are getting healthy; and Brees has his full complement of weapons at his disposal. Meanwhile, the 49ers are a veritable M*A*S*H unit. Don’t get me wrong San Fran still has talent, particularly on the defensive side of the ball but the pass rush simply isn’t the same. How could it be after losing Nick Bosa (injury) and DeForrest Buckner (trade). I anticpate Brees taking what the defense gives him and metriculating the ball downfield for a tidy, efficient Top 12 finish. Start em.
START Jared Goff vs. Seattle Seahawks
I can’t seem to get it right, as to when to start Jared Goff. However, the Seahawks offer the perfect matchup to get an inconsistent passing game on track. Seattle allows the most fantasy points per game to the quarterback and wide receiver positions respectively. I’m banking on Sean McVay looking himself in the mirror, self-scouting and doing a better job of putting his players in a position to have success. I also believe this might be the week L.A. unleashes rookie WR Van Jefferson, to add a much needed vertical threat to the Rams offense.
SIT Matthew Stafford vs. Washington Football Team
No Kenny Golladay and now Stafford’s top target in 2020, T.J. Hockenson is battling a foot injury. I just don’t like it. Washington has a formidable pass defense as is and Detroit is certainly lacking in perimeter threats. Furthermore, I’ve little to no confidence in the Lions’ coaching staff. No need to deliberate on this one. Sit em.
START Nick Chubb vs. Houston Texans
Nick Chubb is back folks and I for one am NOT taking a “wait & see” approach to see how his knee responds to game action. First and foremost Chubb is a STUD; he leads the NFL in number of rushes of 20+ yards (6) despite not having played since Week 4. Secondly, offensive guard Wyatt Teller returns to the lineup having graded out as a top interior olineman this season. Finally, the Houston Texans are awful defensively, allowing the third most fantasy points per game to the running back position this season. Even if Chubb doesn’t get a full workload he has the ability to turn 12-14 touches into low end RB1 fantasy production. Start em.
START J.K. Dobbins @ New England Patriots
The Baltimore Ravens of 2020 barely resemble the team of 2019. The offensive line is no longer a strength and there is a dearth of explosive plays. Furthermore, the Ravens are missing the heart & soul of their offense, Mark Ingram. However, I believe J.K. Dobbins is the injection of life the Ravens need in addition to committing to their power run game.
Prior to the the Ravens bye week, Dobbins did not have a single game with double-digit carries. However, since the bye week Dobbins has averaged just under 14 touts per game, including his 1st career 100-yard rushing performance in Week 8. I believe the fresh, young legs of Dobbins will help resotre some explosiveness to the Ravens offense.
This week’s matchup against New England isn’t nearly is a daunting as one may have thought prior to the season. In fact, the Patriots allow the 11th most fantasy points per game to the running back position. We all watched the Jets of all teams “run left” with considerable success on Monday night. A favorable matchup indeed.
SIT Mike Davis vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With Christian McCaffrey sidelined by injury once again I certianly can understand why you might start Davis. However, after the Buccaneers’ embarassment on national television last week I believe they will be playing with a new found sense of urgency. Furthermore, the Bucs have been among the best in the NFL in defending opposing running backs. Davis’ involvement in the passing game may solidify his floor as an RB2; but his lack of scoring opportunites and the matchup leave me fading him in Week 10.